Reports

This report tracks the current political state of play in the South African provinces of Gauteng, KwaZulu-Natal and the Western Cape in April 2024. It does so via surveying 410 demographically and geographically representative registered voters in Gauteng with a provincial margin of error of 4.7%, 408 in KwaZulu-Natal with a provincial margin of error of 4.8% and 410 in the Western Cape with a provincial margin of error of 4.7%. The data in the report is not a forecast of the May 29 election result, but rather a snapshot of the likely current position. Only parties that polled near or above the margins of error are cited by name and readers must be aware that there is very limited utility to a number for a party that polls near the margin of error of a study.

This report tracks the current national political state of play in South Africa in April 2024. It does so via a survey of 1 835 demographically and geographically representative registered voters conducted by the Foundation during April of 2024. That survey had a margin of error of 2.2%. Only parties that polled above or very close to this margin of error are identified by name in this report. The data in the report is not a forecast of the May 29 election result, but rather a snapshot of the likely current position. Readers must be aware that this position is very different from that of just 12 months ago and that equally significant changes to the position may play out over the next seven weeks.

This report is the first in a series tracking the political race in America ahead of that country's November 2024 presidential election. The data is drawn from a wide cross-section of polling organisations. The methodology applied to the data in this report was to award all states that polled within the margin of error in favour of Mr Trump to Mr Biden. All states that polled in favour of Mr Biden were awarded to Mr Biden regardless of margin of error. Only states that polled in favour of Mr Trump to a degree beyond the margin of error were awarded to Mr Trump.

This report investigates the perceptions of adults in the Western Cape towards the current war in Gaza between Israel and Hamas. It is based on a survey of 815 geographically and demographically representative registered voters in the Western Cape commissioned by the Foundation in March 2024. That survey had a provincial margin of error of 5%.

This report collates a series of national election polling data conducted in South Africa since late 2022. The data is drawn from multiple polling groups including: IPSOS, MarkDATA, the Brenthurst Foundation, the Institute of Race Relations and the SRF. These groups use different methodologies and sample sizes and turnout methodologies in producing their poll numbers.

This report investigates the perceptions of adults in the Western Cape towards the Islamic terror group Hamas. It is based on a survey of 815 geographically and demographically representative registered voters in the Western Cape commissioned by the Foundation in March 2024. That survey had a provincial margin of error of 5%.

This report investigates the political balance of power in the Western Cape in March 2024.

This report investigates support for Umkhonto WeSizwe (MK) in KwaZulu-Natal. It does so via asking questions that test awareness and support for the party.

This report examines the political balance of power in KwaZulu-Natal in February 2024. The data in the report is drawn from two Foundation surveys. The first is a survey of 820 geographically and demographically representative registered voters commissioned by the Foundation in February 2024. This survey has a provincial margin of error of 5%.