Reports

April 2024
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18
Policy Preferences for a Future Coalition Government - Federalism, Taxes and Energy
This report investigates support amongst registered voters towards policy positions on federalism, taxes and energy. It is the fourth of four reports that examine support amongst registered South African voters towards various policy reforms that could be pursued by a future coalition government. The report is based on a survey of 1 835 demographically and geographically representative registered voters conducted by the Foundation during April of 2024. That survey had a margin of error of 2.2%. The way in which support or opposition to potential policies was tested was by putting a series of statements about opposing policies to survey respondents. The respondents were asked to say which of the opposing statements they agreed with and how strongly they agreed or disagreed.
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April 2024
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17
Policy Preferences for a Future Coalition Government - Foreign Policy
This report investigates support amongst registered voters towards varying foreign policy positions. It is the third of four reports that examine support amongst registered South African voters towards various policies that could be pursued by a future coalition government. The report is based on a survey of 1 835 demographically and geographically representative registered voters conducted by the Foundation during April of 2024. That survey had a margin of error of 2.2%. The way in which support or opposition to potential policies was tested was by putting a series of statements about opposing policies to survey respondents. The respondents were asked to say which of the opposing statements they agreed with and how strongly they agreed or disagreed.
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April 2024
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16
Policy Preferences for a Future Coalition Government - Nationalisation
This report investigates support amongst registered voters towards nationalisation of the health insurance, pension and school systems. It is the second of four reports that examine support amongst registered South African voters towards various policies that could be pursued by a future coalition government. The report is based on a survey of 1 835 demographically and geographically representative registered voters conducted by the Foundation during April of 2024. That survey had a margin of error of 2.2%. The way in which support or opposition to potential policy reforms was tested was by putting a series of statements about opposing policy reforms to survey respondents. The respondents were asked to say which of the opposing statements they agreed with and how strongly they agreed or disagreed.
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April 2024
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15
Policy Preferences for a Future Coalition Government - BEE
This report investigates the support amongst registered voters towards race-based hiring, procurement and economic policies. It is the first of four reports that examine support or opposition to various policy reforms that a future South African coalition government might adopt. The report is based on a survey of 1 835 demographically and geographically representative registered voters conducted by the Foundation during April of 2024. That survey had a margin of error of 2.2%. The way in which support or opposition to potential policy reforms was tested was by putting a series of statements about opposing policy reforms to survey respondents. The respondents were asked to say which of the opposing statements they agreed with and how strongly they agreed or disagreed.
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April 2024
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14
Perceptions of the Multi-Party Charter
This report examines the perceptions of registered South African voters towards the Multi-Party Charter* and specifically the prospects for the success of that charter in government. The report is based on a survey of 1 835 demographically and geographically representative registered voters conducted by the Foundation during April of 2024. That survey had a margin of error of 2.2%.
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April 2024
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13
If the ANC Falls Below 50% What Coalition Government Would South Africans Wish to See in Power
This report examines the preferred coalition make up that South Africans would wish to see in the event that ANC support slips to below 50% in the May 29 election. The report is based on a survey of 1 835 demographically and geographically representative registered voters conducted by the Foundation during April of 2024. That survey had a margin of error of 2.2%.
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April 2024
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12
Political State of Play in South Africa's Battleground Provinces in April 2024
This report tracks the current political state of play in the South African provinces of Gauteng, KwaZulu-Natal and the Western Cape in April 2024. It does so via surveying 410 demographically and geographically representative registered voters in Gauteng with a provincial margin of error of 4.7%, 408 in KwaZulu-Natal with a provincial margin of error of 4.8% and 410 in the Western Cape with a provincial margin of error of 4.7%. The data in the report is not a forecast of the May 29 election result, but rather a snapshot of the likely current position. Only parties that polled near or above the margins of error are cited by name and readers must be aware that there is very limited utility to a number for a party that polls near the margin of error of a study.
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April 2024
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11
Political State of Play in South Africa in April 2024
This report tracks the current national political state of play in South Africa in April 2024. It does so via a survey of 1 835 demographically and geographically representative registered voters conducted by the Foundation during April of 2024. That survey had a margin of error of 2.2%. Only parties that polled above or very close to this margin of error are identified by name in this report. The data in the report is not a forecast of the May 29 election result, but rather a snapshot of the likely current position. Readers must be aware that this position is very different from that of just 12 months ago and that equally significant changes to the position may play out over the next seven weeks.
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April 2024
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10
Polling the American Election
This report is the first in a series tracking the political race in America ahead of that country's November 2024 presidential election. The data is drawn from a wide cross-section of polling organisations. The methodology applied to the data in this report was to award all states that polled within the margin of error in favour of Mr Trump to Mr Biden. All states that polled in favour of Mr Biden were awarded to Mr Biden regardless of margin of error. Only states that polled in favour of Mr Trump to a degree beyond the margin of error were awarded to Mr Trump.
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