South Africa's Political State of Play September 2024
This report tracks the current national political state of play in South Africa in April 2024. It does so via a survey of 1 204 demographically and geographically representative registered voters conducted by the Foundation during September of 2024. That survey had a margin of error of 3%. Only parties that polled above or very close to this margin of error are identified by name in this report. The data in the report is not a forecast of a future South African election.
If general elections were taking place today, which party would you vote for (on your national ballot paper)?
September 2024 survey and May 2024 election results
South Africa is currently governed nationally by a grand coalition - also called a government of national unity or GNU - which comprises a range of parties including the ANC and the DA. In general, do you think the GNU is working very well, quite well, quite poorly or very poorly?
By race
South Africa is currently governed nationally by a grand coalition - also called a government of national unity or GNU - which comprises a range of parties including the ANC and the DA. In general, do you think the GNU is working very well, quite well, quite poorly or very poorly?
By education
Do you believe the Government of National Unity will fail or succeed?
By race
TENTATIVE CONCLUSIONS
The data indicates that both the ANC and DA have grown in support since the May 2024 election. In general, the parties that are inside the Government of National Unity (GNU) are up and the parties outside of it are down. This is consistent with the fact that the GNU is broadly well regarded by voters. The data in the report also shows that as one moves up socio-economic strata (the education tables bear this out) regard for the GNU increases. This is a key finding of the Foundation's September polling which will be reflected time and again in reports still due to be published.
