South African Public Opinion On Trump VS Harris
This report investigates registered South African voters preferences for the next US president. The data in the report comes from a survey of 1 204 demographically and geographically representative registered voters conducted by the Foundation during September of 2024. That survey had a margin of error of 3%.
Are you aware of the upcoming presidential election in the United States of America, in November 2024? If so, who would you vote for in that election?
By race
Are you aware of the upcoming presidential election in the United States of America, in November 2024? If so, who would you vote for in that election?
By education
Are you aware of the upcoming presidential election in the United States of America, in November 2024? If so, who would you vote for in that election?
By income
Are you aware of the upcoming presidential election in the United States of America, in November 2024? If so, who would you vote for in that election?
By party affiliation
Of those South African voters aware of the American election on 5 November what share would vote for Mr Trump as opposed to Ms Harris
By race
TENTATIVE CONCLUSIONS
A first insight from the data is that awareness of the American election on 5 November 2024 is at a relatively low level in South Africa. Of those South Africans who are aware of the election roughly a third would vote for Mr Trump and two-thirds for Ms Harris. Support for Mr Trump was higher amongst black South Africans than white South Africans with just under 40% of black South Africans, aware of the election, expressing the view that they would vote for Mr Trump compared to just over a third of white South Africans.
