October 2024
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Perceptions of the Progressive Caucus in the Aftermath of South Africa's GNU

This report investigates perceptions of registered South African voters towards the Progressive Caucus. The data in the report comes from a survey of 1 204 demographically and geographically representative registered voters conducted by the Foundation during September of 2024. That survey had a margin of error of 3%.

After the Government of National Unity was formed, parties on the radical left of South Africa's political spectrum including the EFF and MK formed an alliance called the Progressive Caucus in parliament. Its purpose is to advance 'radical economic transformation' and the policy of land expropriation without compensation. Which of the following best describes your position on the Progressive Caucus?

By race

After the Government of National Unity was formed, parties on the radical left of South Africa's political spectrum including the EFF and MK formed an alliance called the Progressive Caucus in parliament. Its purpose is to advance 'radical economic transformation' and the policy of land expropriation without compensation. Which of the following best describes your position on the Progressive Caucus?

By education

TENTATIVE CONCLUSIONS 

In terms of perceptions of the Progressive Caucus about a third of voters support it, about half of voters are against it and about a quarter are unsure whether or not they support it. The data suggests that there is a critical mass of voters which, if they are dissatisfied with the performance of the GNU, could flip the balance of power in South Africa's politics in favour of a future populist, leftist administration.